Strategic Management Prospects v4.0 Species Forecast Report created on 05 February, 2024
A Species Forecast Report is a summary of currently available information, the predicted 50-year outlook for the species, and potential pathways to recovery through species-specific and landscape-scale actions.
The report collates data from a range of sources including the Victorian Biodiversity Atlas, Strategic Management Prospects (SMP), Specific Needs Assessments, Threatened Species Action Statements, the Genetic Risk Index, and the IUCN Common Assessment Method.
Species Forecast Reports are intended to be used in conjunction with SMP and other spatial outputs in NatureKit, and Action Statements where relevant.
For more information on Species Forecast Reports, SMP and other biodiversity decision support tools, including user guides, visit Choosing actions for nature webpage on the DEECA website.
| Taxon ID | 505177 |
| Scientific name | Eucalyptus splendens |
| Common name | Apple Jack |
| Group | Dicotyledons |
| FFG status | Critically Endangered |
| EPBC status |
Tree to 10 m tall; bark rough to c. 4 cm diam. branches, firm to corky, hardly furrowed, grey over red-brown. Crown green, stems on coppice growth and branchlets of canopy conspicuously yellow. Juvenile leaves opposite at first, sessile, green, glossy, to 6.5 cm long, 1.2 cm wide, tapering at base, by 1-1.5 m tall becoming alternate, petiolate, broadly lanceolate to falcate; adult leaves lanceolate or falcate, to 20 cm long, 2 cm wide, glossy, green. Inflorescences axillary, unbranched; peduncles to 0.5 cm long, 7-flowered; buds shortly pedicellate, fusiform or ovoid, scar present; operculum conical. Fruit shortly pedicellate, cupular to hemispherical, to 0.6 cm long, 0.7 cm diam.; disc ascending; valves 3 or 4, exserted; seed brown to blackish, flattened-ellipsoid, reticulate, lacunose, hilum ventral. Flowers ?Oct.
Endemic to Victoria. Bioregions include Glenelg Plain, Victorian Volcanic Plain and Highlands-Southern Fall. Known only from near Mt Richmond. Rule (1996): On the eastern perimeter of the Mt. Richmond settlement, Portland-Nelson Rd. Known only from a single locality to the north west of Portland in Western Victoria between Mt Richmond settlement and Mt Richmond. The distribution which covers a linear distance of approximately 8 km and which contains severe large remnants occurs along a narrow sub-coastal, seasonally water-logged belt within a few kilometres of the ocean. A species of restricted distribution. It occurs within protected reserves, at the roadside along the Nelson-Portland Road and exists in remnants of adjacent farms where substantial numbers have been lost.
It grows on heavy soils of volcanic origin. Within a narrow sub-coastal, seasonally water-logged belt (Rule 1996).
No genetic risk information is currently available.
The Habitat Distribution Model (HDM) layer shows the modelled distribution of habitat for Apple Jack in Victoria. Red shading indicates areas of habitat with relatively higher suitability, compared with yellow shaded areas. HDMs are developed by combining Victorian Biodiversity Atlas (VBA) occurrence records for the species with a range of environmental variables to predict where the most suitable habitat for the species is in Victoria. Species may not always occupy areas of suitable habitat. Threatening processes (prior or ongoing) and disturbance regimes (e.g. fire, timber harvesting) may stop species from occupying otherwise suitable habitat for periods of time. Management actions often focus on currently occupied areas, however management of unoccupied areas can also be important to allow populations to re-establish.
No Habitat Distrabution Model is currently available.
No Species Forecast data is available because Apple Jack is not yet included in our decision-support tools.
A Species Forecast is the estimated likelihood of a species being present in 50 years time. The data for Species Forecasts is drawn from DEECA’s decision support tools, Strategic Management Prospects and Specific Needs Assessments.
Many species benefit from the management of widespread threats, such as weeds and pests, and the benefit of these landscape-scale actions to ~4,200 species is modelled in Strategic Management Prospects. In addition to landscape-scale actions, some species also need actions that improve or protect habitat at certain sites, such as nest boxes or hollow logs, or actions to improve certain populations, such as gene mixing or translocation.
As part of a continuous improvement program for our decision-support tools, we are working to expand the scope of actions modelled in Strategic Management Prospects, and to build the dataset of species benefits from location-specific and population-specific actions.
We can use this data to consider how different actions may benefit a species and examine how different types of on-ground management may contribute to a species’ recovery in 50 years, to develop a Species Forecast.
No Species Forecast data is available because Apple Jack is not yet included in our decision-support tools.
The benefit data in SMP can be used to consider what the Apple Jack’s prospects are if the landscape scale management actions in SMP are implemented.
No Species Prospects figure is available becuase Apple Jack is not yet included in SMP.
For more information on the decision support tools, products and underlying data used in this report, and how the data is collected and developed into products, please visit the following links:
These links include information on how to provide data and feedback into these products.
The Species Forecast Reports will be updated periodically to reflect changes and improvements in the products and tools that inform them (e.g., following updates to SMP).
As the data contained in Species Forecast Reports is drawn from multi-species datasets, it is not currently possible to incorporate species-specific information or feedback directly.
For help or further information get in touch by visiting Choosing actions for nature webpage on the DEECA website.
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